The 2025 NBA Cup Finals are here, as the only NBA game on Tuesday night. The San Antonio Spurs are set to take on the New York Knicks at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas at 8:30 p.m. ET to decide the 2025 in-season champion — whatever that is worth.
Spurs C Victor Wembanyama’s return to the hardwood after a one-month layoff helped power San Antonio past the seemingly unbeatable Thunder last week in the Western Conference NBA Cup Semifinals. Now he’ll look to be the driving force behind another big victory while on a minutes restriction. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET.
Below, we'll break down our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction in the NBA Cup, in addition to the top NBA picks on PrizePicks today, including for PG Jalen Brunson, PG De’Aaron Fox, and SG Stephon Castle.
Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Spurs and Knicks are both 18-7 on the year, but the Knicks have more momentum as they've won nine of their last 10 games. All of New York's usual starters are prepared to handle full workloads, and one Knicks player in particular is extremely hot ahead of the championship game.
PG Jalen Brunson’s recent offensive surge has pushed his scoring average to a career-high 28.8 points per game. He’s scored at least 30 points in three consecutive contests and racked up a season-high 40 points against the Magic in the Eastern Conference NBA Cup Semifinals.
His on-ball dominance has translated to wins, but few teams are playing better team ball than the Spurs.
PG De'Aaron Fox is leading San Antonio in total points this season, but six other players not named Wembanyama are averaging at least 11.0 points per game.
The Spurs are 9-3 straight up without their franchise centerpiece and can raise their ceiling with their French superstar available again, although he may be on a minutes limit.
The Knicks are 17-8 against the spread in 2025-26 and have covered in a league-high 68.0% of their games. The Spurs are also a top-10 team against the spread, but are more toward the middle of the pack. They've actually covered more without Wemby so far this season.
The Spurs opened up the year 5-6-1 against the spread with Wembanyama before he got hurt; they have gone 8-4 against the spread without him. He came off the bench for the first time in his career against the Thunder, and his health will play a major role in the outcome of Tuesday’s game.
San Antonio’s injury report is clear, while Miles McBride (ankle) and Landry Shamet (shoulder) have been ruled out for New York — both of whom won't have huge impacts on the game.
Spurs vs. Knicks Over/Under, Spread
The Knicks are 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Spurs are the slight underdog in the NBA Cup Finals, returning a 2.04x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
- Spread: Knicks -2.5
- Over/Under: 233.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Spurs 2.04x | Knicks 1.69x
Team Picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction on Spread for NBA Cup Finals
Here are some stats to know to help you lock in on your Spurs vs. Knicks prediction in the NBA Cup Finals.
- New York has covered the spread in nine of its previous 10 games.
- The Knicks have the best ATS record in the NBA, at 17-8, covering by an average of 2.7 points per game.
- The Knicks have covered in four of their previous five games away from home — tonight's game is in Vegas.
- The Spurs are 6-6-1 against the spread with Wembanyama this season.
- San Antonio is 1-3 straight up against the Knicks when Brunson plays.
- On the Spurs side, San Antonio is 13-0 against the spread since December 29, 2024, with two days of rest vs. a team also off two days of rest.
Spurs vs. Knicks NBA Picks for PrizePicks Today
Here are three of the top Spurs vs. Knicks picks on PrizePicks for today's NBA Cup Finals. Player projections via the PrizePicks real money NBA game.
Knicks PG Jalen Brunson vs. Spurs Projection – 36.5 Pts+Asts
- Brunson has tallied at least 39 Pts+Asts in three consecutive contests
- New York’s floor general is averaging 42.8 Pts+Asts through five games without McBride this season
- The former Maverick is spending 45.3% of his time on the ball, per databallr. That’s a 99th-percentile figure.
- The Knicks’ leading scorer is averaging 33.0 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, per databallr. That’s a 98th-percentile figure.
- No other team is giving up more points to opposing PGs than the Spurs — giving up 36.4 points to the position.
- In NBA cup games, Brunson has averaged 34.8 points per game and 5.4 assists pergameon over 55% shooting.
Spurs PG De’Aaron Fox vs. Knicks Projection – 26 Pts+Asts
- Fox is averaging 28.8 Pts+Asts through five games in December.
- The Kentucky product has fallen short of 26 Pts+Asts just twice in 10 career games with Wembanyama
- San Antonio’s leading scorer is putting up 28.0 shot attempts per 100 possessions, per databallr. That’s a 91st-percentile figure.
- The Spurs’ lead G spends 38.4% of his time on the ball, per databallr. That’s an 88th-percentile figure.
Spurs SG Stephon Castle vs. Knicks Projection – 23 Pts+Rebs
- Castle has averaged 30.3 points + rebounds combined in the three games he’s played since returning from injury.
- The UConn product is averaging 6.8 rebounds per 100 possessions when Wembanyama isn’t on the floor, according to Add More Funds.
- Castle's usage is the highest on the team without Wemby on the floor, at 32.6%, per Add More Funds. Overall, he's averaging just 26.5%. That's key as Wemby maybe limited tonight.
- Last season’s Rookie of the Year is rebounding his teammates’ misses 6.4% of the time, per databallr. That’s a 99th-percentile figure.
- The second-year SG has a defensive rebound percentage of 14.2%, per databallr. That’s a 97th-percentile figure.
Make Spurs vs. Knicks Picks on PrizePicks
The Spurs and Knicks are set to meet in the 2025 NBA Cup Finals on Tuesday night. Victor Wembanyama is back in the rotation after missing a month with a calf injury and will likely remain limited after logging just 21 minutes against the Thunder in the Semifinals.
Jalen Brunson appears poised to continue driving New York forward, but De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle will play key roles for San Antonio while Wembanyama works his way back to full strength.
There are plenty of other options worth considering when building your lineup on PrizePicks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on at least two stat projections, then earn real-money rewards if you're right.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
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