Seahawks vs. Patriots Spread Prediction for Super Bowl Sunday

The public is riding with the Seattle Seahawks to win Super Bowl 60, as the NFC champions are 4.5-point favorites, but can the New England Patriots prove the majority wrong?

The Seahawks seek their second Super Bowl title after getting denied by the Patriots 11 years ago in a 28-24 defeat. The Patriots appear in their first Super Bowl since beating the Rams in 2018, featuring MVP runner-up QB Drake Maye.

Let’s break down our Seahawks vs. Patriots spread prediction for Sunday’s Super Bowl 60 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., kicking off at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC.

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Seahawks vs. Patriots Spread, Over/Under, Prediction for Super Bowl LX

The Seahawks and Patriots have met six times since 2008, with each game decided by seven or fewer points.

The most recognizable result was Super Bowl XLIX in Arizona, when Patriots CB Malcolm Butler intercepted Seahawks QB Russell Wilson at the goal line to preserve the 28-24 victory.

Seattle won the past three matchups, including a 23-20 overtime triumph at Gillette Stadium in 2024. The two quarterbacks in that matchup are long gone from these teams — Geno Smith for Seattle and Jacoby Brissett for New England.

Maye has never faced the Seahawks in his short career, while Seahawks QB Sam Darnold last saw the Patriots in 2021 as a member of the Panthers.

Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under, Spread, Payouts

The Seahawks enter the 2026 Super Bowl as 4.5-point favorites, returning a 1.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Patriots are underdogs with a 2.77x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

• Spread: Seattle Seahawks -4.5
• Over/Under: 45.5
• Game Winner Payout: Seahawks 1.38x | Patriots 2.77x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Seahawks vs. Patriots Spread Prediction for 2026 Super Bowl

Here are some stats to know to help make your Seahawks vs. Patriots spread prediction in Super Bowl LX, with the Seahawks favored by 4.5 points.

• The underdog has covered the spread in five straight Super Bowls and won the last three outright. 
• The last time a Super Bowl favorite of at least four points won and covered was the Colts in Super Bowl XLI against the Bears, 29-17, on Feb. 4, 2007.
• These two teams are the best against the spread in the NFL this year, with the Seahawks at 73.7% and Patriots at 68.4%.
• The Seahawks posted a 14-5 against the spread (ATS) ledger this year, including an 8-1 ATS mark away from Lumen Field.
• This year’s New England squad compiled a 14-6 ATS record in 2025, highlighted by a 7-2 ATS mark away from Foxboro.
• The Seahawks finished with a perfect 8-0 straight-up in games as a 4-point favorite or higher this season.
• The Patriots appear in their 10th Super Bowl since 2002. Sunday marks the first time New England is an underdog since upsetting the Rams, 20-17, as 14-point dogs in the Greatest Show on Turf.
• Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel’s club covered in four of six games as an underdog this season.
• Maye led all starting QBs in adjusted EPA/play, while Darnold finished ninth. 
• The Seahawks were 4-2 vs. QBs in the top-10 in adjusted EPA/Play — 2-1 against 49ers QB Brock Purdy, 2-1 against Rams QB Matthew Stafford.
• The Patriots faced one QB ranked in the top-10 of adjusted EPA/Play, splitting a pair of games against Bills QB Josh Allen, who ranked fifth.
• New England allowed 16 or fewer points in each of the last five games; Seattle's offense has scored less than 16 points once since Week 1, while averaging 30.0 PPG in the past five contests.
• Seattle compiled a 5-2 record against top-10 offenses, facing a New England squad that ranked third in yards per game.
• The Patriots played three games in the last four weeks — two on the road; meanwhile, the Seahawks have played just two games, both at home in Seattle,  a slight advantage for the NFC champions.
• Despite playing vs. Broncos second-string QB Jarrett Stidham in the AFC Conference Championship, the Patriots failed to cover the point spread.
• Super Bowl winners cover the spread 88% of the time, with a 50-7-2 record all-time.

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Make Seahawks vs. Patriots Predictions on PrizePicks

Will the Seahawks or Patriots be crowned champion of Super Bowl 60 on Sunday? Most importantly for people making Super Bowl picks: which team will cover the 4.5-point spread?

Both the Patriots and Seahawks have put together great seasons deserving of the crown, but only one will finish with the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

With the Super Bowl set to kick off at 6:30 p.m. ET, there’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every NFL moment than with PrizePicks.

There are hundreds of player stat projections on the NFL board for every game; just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook all the way through the Super Bowl kickoff for our NFL picks, predictions, and analysis.

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