Seahawks vs. Patriots
Pick Your Champion Now!
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Pick Your Champion Now!
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Pick Your Champion Now!
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Pick Your Champion Now!
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks, Spread for Super Bowl 60

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba prepares for the Super Bowl.
AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson

The Seahawks and Patriots, two teams that missed the postseason last year, meet in Super Bowl 60 in Santa Clara, CA.

The AFC Champion Patriots, led by Coach of the Year Mike Vrabel and MVP runner-up QB Drake Maye, went from a four-win team in 2024 to being one win away from winning a record seventh Super Bowl.

The Seahawks outlasted the Rams and Niners, both projected to finish above Seattle, in the regular season and again in the postseason, to advance to their fourth Super Bowl.

The Seahawks and Patriots Super Bowl kicks off Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC

Below, we'll break down our Rams and Patriots prediction, picks, and spread for Super Bowl 60, including the top player picks on PrizePicks real money NFL game for Patriots QB Drake Maye, and Seahawks QB Sam Darnold and WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  

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Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks, Spread 

The Seahawks and Patriots have played 20 previous times, including one postseason game. The Seahawks hold an 11-9 all-time advantage, but New England won Super Bowl 49, 28-24. 

Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under, Spread for Super Bowl 60

The Seahawks enter the Super Bowl contest as 4.5-point favorites, returning a 1.4x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Patriots are underdogs with a 2.77x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Seattle Seahawks -4.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Patriots 2.77x | Seahawks 1.4x

Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction on Spread

Underdogs have covered the spread in five straight Super Bowls dating back to 2020, including winning outright in three straight and 4 of the last 5 games.

  • The Patriots were 11-5-1 against the spread in the regular season, only trailing the Rams, Jaguars, and this week’s opponent, the Seahawks, for the best record against the spread. They covered in two of their three postseason games as well. 
  • New England is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season, winning outright at Miami, Buffalo, Tampa Bay, and Baltimore. They failed to cover vs. Buffalo in the second matchup and vs. Pittsburgh. 
  • 11 of the Patriots' 17 regular-season games went over the total. In the postseason, one was over and two were under. 
  • New England ended the regular season second in scoring (28.8), third in total offense (279.4 yards per game), fourth in passing (250.4), and sixth in rushing (128.9). The Pats finished third in DOVA offense. 
  • In the postseason, those offense numbers have dropped to 18 PPG, 278.3 total yards, 130.7 rushing yards, and 147.7 passing yards. 
  • On the defensive side, the Patriots finished fourth in scoring (18.8), eighth in total defense (295.2), sixth in rushing (101.7), and ninth in passing (193.5). However, in DVOA, the Patriots' defense was ranked 23rd.
  • The Seahawks finished the regular season first in the league in scoring defense (17.2 PPG), sixth in total defense (285.9 YPG), third in rushing (91.9), and second in pass yards per play (5.5). They were the top-ranked defense, per DVOA. 
  • The Seahawks were 12-5 against the spread during the regular season, tied with the Rams for the best cover percentage at 70.6%. They also covered both playoff games vs. the Niners and Rams. 
  • Seattle was 10-4 ATS this season as a favorite. The 10 covers were one less than the rival Rams for most as a favorite.
  • The Seahawks covered the spread by an average of 7.9 points, the largest margin among NFL teams this season. 

Seahawks vs. Patriots Picks for PrizePicks

Here are three Seahawks vs. Patriots player picks for Super Bowl 60 for PrizePicks real money NFL game, including Patriots QB Drake Maye, Seahawks QB Sam Darnold, and WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Seahawks QB Sam Darnold Projection vs. Patriots: 230.5 Pass Yards

  • Seahawks QB Sam Darnold has reached his player passing projection in 12 of 19 games this season, including in the NFC Championship game vs. the Rams. 
  • Darnold has passed for more than 225 yards in 10 of 17 regular-season games and in 1 of his 2 postseason contests. 
  • The Seattle signal caller had 4,048 yards this season, the second most in his career and sixth most in Seahawks single-season history. The 4,048 passing yards were the fifth most in the NFL, the same position he finished in 2024 with the Vikings, when he threw for 4,319 yards. 
  • Darnold’s ADot was 8.7 this season, 14th in the NFL, and he was fourth in “Big-Time throws” with 29, per PFF. 

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projection vs. Patriots: 90.5 Receiving Yards

  • Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit more on his passing prop in 13 of 19 games this season, but has failed to reach it in three of his last four games, including the postseason. 
  • The 90.5 listed player receiving yards projection is the lowest since Week 14 at Atlanta (84.5 and got 92 yards).
  • The NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year has reached 90+ yards in 14 of 19 games this season, including  153 in the NFC Championship Game vs. the Rams. 
  • JSN had seen 10+ targets in 10 of 19 games this season and in 12 of his last 24 games overall.

Patriots QB Drake Maye Projection vs. Seahawks: 220.5 Passing Yards

  • Patriots QB Drake Maye has hit his passing projection in 13 of 20 games this season. However, after hitting it in nine of the first 15 games, he has not hit it in four of the last five games, including the last two postseason games. 
  • Maye averaged 258.5 passing yards per game in the regular season and has thrown for 177.7 yards per game in the three postseason games.  
  • The NFL MVP runner-up has rushed for 20+ yards in seven of his last nine games, including 65 in the AFC title game vs. Denver. 
  • Dating back to Week 13, the Rams’ Matthew Stafford is the only QB to even reach 165 yards vs. the Seattle defense. He did it both times, but Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins at 162 passing yards in Week 14 was the next most.

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Make Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl 60 Predictions on PrizePicks

Can the Patriots complete the storybook turnaround from a four-win season in 2024 to earn their record seventh Super Bowl title? Or will Seattle cap off their surprise season with a second Super Bowl trophy and get revenge for the last-play loss in Super Bowl 49?

There's no better place to get real money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.

There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states. 

It's the simplest way to get real-money action on NFL action. 

Stay locked in on Playbook all the way through the Super Bowl for NFL predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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