Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Prediction, Spread, College Basketball Picks for March 6

With a win over the Ohio Bobcats (15-15) on Friday night, the Miami (OH) RedHawks (30-0) would become the first team since 2020-21 to finish the regular season undefeated. 

Following back-to-back two-point wins, is Miami (OH) in store for another close call? Ohio is 2-4 in its last six games and looks to snap a two-game losing streak.

PrizePicks Team Picks offers payouts for Yes or No for Miami (OH) to go undefeated in the regular season. We will finally get an answer on that futures outcome and more as we gear up with our Miami (OH) vs. Ohio prediction and picks for Friday’s 9:00 p.m. ET tip-off on ESPN2.

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Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

As 7.5-point favorites on February 13, the RedHawks rolled to a 90-74 win over the Bobcats. However, Ohio is 7-3 and 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

The under is 3-1 for both teams over the previous four games. Miami (OH) is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games, compared to Ohio’s 3-4 mark in the split.

Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Spread, Over/Under

After failing to cover back-to-back games, tonight’s 5.5-point spread on PrizePicks Team Picks is the RedHawks’ lowest mark since February 17.

Ohio has not won a game as an underdog since January 31. Will that change here? The Bobcats have a 3.03x payout to win on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states

• Spread: Miami (OH) -5.5
• Over/Under: 158.5
• Gamer Winner Payout: Miami (OH) 1.4x | Ohio 3.03x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Prediction on Spread

In the previous matchup, the two combined for 164 points, going over the 163.5 total. According to Bart Torvik, Miami (OH) ranks 71st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 113th on defense. Ohio is also most efficient on offense, ranking 200th and 245th in the two categories.

The metric also tabs the RedHawks in the 87th percentile for the quickest adjusted tempo, while the Bobcats sit in the 71st percentile. TeamRankings credits Miami (OH) with 58.4 field goal attempts per game (53rd percentile) and Ohio with 59.5 shots per contest (66th percentile).

A quick pace should aid the RedHawks’ offense, and they are in the 79th percentile of 3-point shot distribution and shoot 37.4% from beyond the arc. Opponents convert 36.6% of 3-point attempts against Ohio.

Furthermore, the Bobcats’ offense lacks efficiency with a 23.8% farther-2 shot distribution (62nd percentile for the highest marks). Miami (OH) limits opposing teams to a 38.0% close-2 shot distribution and a 37.1% mark from 3-point land.

Ohio could be forced into those inefficient “far 2s” — further harming its 50.7% effective field goal percentage.

Following February’s 16-point win over the Bobcats, the RedHawks’ efficiency may win the day once again.

Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/6/26

For PrizePicks college basketball projections on Friday night, Miami (OH) F Almar Atlason and Ohio F Javan Simmons catch the eye.

Miami (OH) F Almar Atlason vs. Ohio Projection: 9.5 Points

• Atlason ranks second on Miami (OH) with 4.8 3-point attempts per game, and that’s increased to 5.7 in his last three games.
• The Icelandic forward posts only 18.9 minutes per game, but he’s averaged 22.0 minutes per appearance over the past three matchups.
• Facing a suspect Ohio perimeter defense, Atlason shoots 38.2% from deep.
• Backed by 10.0 points per game (PPG) in his last seven games, 9.5 points could be within reach for the 6’8” forward.

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Ohio F Javan Simmons vs. Miami (OH) Projection: 14.5 Points

• As mentioned, Miami (OH) is slightly more vulnerable in the painted area, and the Bobcat forward depends on getting to the rim with only 4 converted triples on the year.
• Simmons’ primary defender could be Miami (OH) G Brant Byers, and he features a concerning -0.05 Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating (DBPR), per EvanMiya.
• Ohio’s second-leading scorer (14.4 PPG) is on a hot streak with 19.7 PPG in his last three appearances.
• Simmons recorded 11.0 field goal attempts per game in his past eight contests, surpassing his 9.6 season average.

Make #19 Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Picks on PrizePicks

Will Miami (OH) make history with a perfect 31-0 regular-season record? The RedHawks carry a favorable matchup tonight, but recent close calls cannot be overlooked.

Make your Miami (OH) vs. Ohio picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states. 

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news.