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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Picks for Game 7 Tonight

Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. celebrates a hit in an MLB game.
Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images

The Mariners and Blue Jays will battle it out in ALCS Game 7 to see who will take on the Dodgers in the World Series. Tonight's Game 7 is set for 8:08 p.m. ET on Monday and it will air on FOX and FS1.

Both teams will have one of their better starting pitchers on the mound when Mariners SP George Kirby faces Blue Jays SP Shane Bieber. Let’s discuss what that could mean for our Mariners vs. Blue Jays prediction and PrizePicks picks for Game 7 tonight.

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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction for Game 7 Tonight

The Blue Jays forced Game 7 by winning at home Sunday in Game 6. Blue Jays SP Trey Yesavage logged 5 2/3 innings, so the Blue Jays only used two relief pitchers. One of them was their closer Jeff Hoffman, who threw 35 pitches over two innings.

The Mariners used three relieves in the game, though most should be available out of the pen tonight. The Mariners also could turn to ace Bryan Woo out of the bullpen, as he's only pitched two innings so far in this series, both in the Game 5 win.

Mariners Preview vs. Blue Jays

While the Mariners won the first two games of the series in Toronto, they weren’t a great road team during the regular season. They went 51-30 at home, but just 39-42 on the road. That marked their second straight season with a losing record on the road.

The Mariners are batting .212 in the postseason (fifth among all teams), though 3B Eugenio Suarez came back to life with two home runs in Game 5, now batting just .209 in the postseason.

Blue Jays Preview vs. Mariners

The Blue Jays went 54-27 at home during the regular season. The only team to finish with a better record at home was the Phillies, who went 55-26. The Blue Jays continue to do a great job of making contact, striking out a total of just 58 times across 10 playoff games.

The Blue Jays lead the MLB in batting average in the postseason by a wide margin, with a .294 average, plus a postseason-leading 19 home runs.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Picks & MLB DFS

Here are three of the top Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks on PrizePicks for Game 7 of the ALCS, including Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Mariners 1B Josh Naylor.

Mariners SP George Kirby vs. Blue Jays Projection: 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed

  • Kirby was roughed up in Game 3 of the ALCS, allowing 8 runs over four innings. The Blue Jays pummeled him with the long ball, hitting 3 home runs.
  • In two starts against the Tigers in the previous round, Kirby allowed 3 runs across 10 innings.
  • The right-hander allowed a 43.9% hard-hit rate during the regular season, which was the highest mark of his career.
  • Kirby produced a 26.9% strikeout rate and a 1.11 WHIP at home this season, but he had a 25.3% strikeout rate and a 1.28 WHIP on the road.
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Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs. Mariners Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Guerrero went 2-for-4 with 1 home run and 2 runs scored in Game 6.
  • After going hitless in the first two games of the ALCS, the star slugger is 9-for-15 with 3 home runs, 3 RBIs, and 6 runs scored over the last four games.
  • Vladdy hit 1 of the 3 homers that Kirby allowed in Game 3.
  • The five-time All-Star produced a 12.2% barrel rate and a 50.7% hard-hit rate this season, which is right in line with his career 11.8% barrel rate and 50.4% hard-hit rate.

Mariners 1B Josh Naylor vs. Blue Jays Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

  • Naylor went 2-for-4 with 1 home run in Game 6. That marked the third time over the last five games that he hit a home run.
  • Naylor isn’t just selling out for home runs. He has three multi-hit games in the series, going 9-for-21 with 2 walks in the ALCS.
  • The standout first baseman has four 3-hit games during the Mariners’ playoff run.
  • Left-handed pitchers limited Naylor to a .328 wOBA and a .149 ISO during the regular season, but he recorded a .361 wOBA and a .177 ISO versus righties.

Make MLB Picks Tonight on PrizePicks

The NLCS was over in a flash with the Dodgers sweeping the Brewers. The same can’t be said for the ALCS with the Mariners and Blue Jays set to play a deciding Game 7 on Monday.

Kirby will look to bounce-back from his poor performance in Game 3, with Woo likely coming in behind him, but navigating Guerrero and this red-hot Blue Jays lineup could prove to be difficult. Naylor will try to rack up another multi-hit performance to improves the Mariners’ chances of reaching the World Series.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 7 ALCS brings plenty of projections to consider on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks and win real money if your picks are correct.

Check out the Playbook for more daily MLB picks throughout the playoffs.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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