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Magic vs Thunder Prediction, Spread: SGA and Banchero Square Off

Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shoots a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Darren Abate

The Orlando Magic and Oklahoma City Thunder meet on Tuesday night in the Sooner State. Orlando finishes its two-game Texas trip, facing the defending champions, who own the NBA’s best record. The game tips at 8:00 p.m.  

The Magic saw their mini two-game win streak come to an end in San Antonio on Sunday night, and sit in eighth place in the Eastern Conference, while the defending champion Thunder, who have lost three of the last five games, continue to have the best record in basketball. With a win, they’d be the first team to 40 wins this season.

Below, we’ll break down our Magic vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Tuesday’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Magic vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread

The Magic and Thunder meet for the 73rd time, with the Spurs holding a 46-26 series advantage, including season sweeps each of the last two seasons. This is the first of two meetings this season between the teams, with the return matchup in Orlando in March.   

Magic vs. Thunder Over/Under, Spread

The Thunder enter the contest as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.31x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Magic are underdogs with a 3.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Oklahoma City -7.5
  • Over/Under: 219.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Magic 3.12x |  Thunder 1.31x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Magic vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread

The Thunder are favored tonight, which should come as no surprise, as they have been favored in all 50 games they have played this season.

  • The Magic are 19-29 (39.5%) to the spread this season, tied for the third-worst cover percentage of all NBA teams in 2025-26. They’ve failed to cover in five of the previous seven games. 
  • Orlando’s last win in Oklahoma City was in December of 2020, a streak that has seen the Magic lose the last four visits. 
  • Orlando is 6-8 against the spread as an underdog, and failed to cover as an underdog in seven of the last nine spots. 
  • The Magic offense has struggled shooting, as they are 25th in the league in EFG pct (52.8), 16th in offensive rating (113.9), and 20th in FG pct (46.4).
  • The Thunder are 24-26 against the spread this season. While only two games under .500 against the spread, the Thunder are 5-11 ATS since January 4. 
  • Both the Magic and Thunder have played 50% of their games to each the over and under. 
  • Unlike the Magic, the Thunder offense is among the best in the league, with a rating of 117.9 (fourth), 56.4 EFG pct (third), and leads the NBA with 120.3 PPG.

Magic vs. Thunder Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Magic vs Thunder injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com 

Magic Injury Report 

  • F Franz Wagner (ankle) - OUT

Thunder Injury Report

  • G Alex Caruso (adductor) - Doubtful
  • G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (finger) - Questionable
  • C Isaiah Hartenstein (injury management) - Questionable
  • C Chet Holmgren (back) - Questionable
  • G Ajay Mitchell (Abdominal) - OUT
  • C Thomas Sorber (ACL) - OUT
  • G Nikola Topic (hamstring) - OUT
  • F Jaylin Williams (shoulder) - Questionable

Magic vs. Thunder Picks for PrizePicks Today: February 3

Here are two Magic vs Thunder picks to target for Tuesday, February 3 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Magic F Paolo Banchero and Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 

Magic F Paolo Banchero Projection vs. Spurs: 23.5 Points

  • Magic F Paolo Banchero has reached his player points projection in three of the last five games and eight of his last 15 games. On the season, he’s reached it in 17 of 37 games with a posted number this season.
  • Banchero has scored 20+ points in 25 of his 38 games played and is averaging 26.2 PPG over his last six games. 
  • His 21.7 points per game average is second on the team and 33rd among all NBA players
  • In four career games vs. the Thunder, Panchero is averaging 20.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.8 assists.

Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projection vs. Magic: 43.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

  • Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has hit his Points+Rebounds+Assist projection in seven of the last 12 games and 26 out of 48 games this season.
  • SGA has scored 30+ points in 34 of 48 outings this year, including four of his last six. His 32.0 PPG season average is second in the NBA. 
  • The Kentucky product also has 5+ assists in 37 of 48 games and has gone over 40 PRA in 30 of 48.
  • The reigning MVP is averaging 24.5 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.8 assists in 12 career games vs. the Magic. 

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Make Magic vs. Thunder NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Magic win in Oklahoma City for the first time since 2020? Or will the Thunder be the first NBA to 40 wins this season? We'll find out when the Magic and Thunder tip at 8:00 p.m.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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