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Magic vs. Hawks Prediction, NBA Picks for Tuesday: Paolo Banchero, Jalen Johnson

Magic F Paolo Banchero shoots a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Nell Redmond)

The Magic and Hawks both enter Tuesday’s matchup at State Farm Arena in Atlanta with identical 3-4 records.

Orlando concludes a five-game road trip, seeking its third consecutive victory. Meanwhile, Atlanta is back home after splitting four games on its away swing.

Let’s look at the Magic vs. Hawks prediction and picks for Tuesday night’s Southeast division battle in Atlanta, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBC.

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Magic vs. Hawks Prediction, Preview for 11/4/25

  • Orlando dropped four consecutive games after holding off MIami in the season opener, 125-121.
  • The Magic have rebounded since with a pair of wins over divisional foes, topping Charlotte and Washington, each by double-digits.
  • The defense has stepped up for Orlando, giving up 107 points to the Hornets and 94 to the Wizards. The Magic yielded at least 135 points in a pair of losses to Philadelphia and Detroit to begin the road trip.
  • Hawks G Trae Young is sidelined for nearly a month after sustaining an MCL sprain in last Wednesday’s win at Brooklyn. Young is averaging a career-low 17.8 points per game through five contests.
  • Atlanta routed Indiana, 128-108 in the first game with Young sidelined last Friday, but fell short in Sunday’s 117-109 defeat at Cleveland.
  • The Hawks rallied to shock the Magic, 111-107, in their first matchup in Orlando on October 24. Atlanta overcame a 10-point halftime deficit and won in spite of shooting 28% from 3-point range.

Orlando Magic

  • Orlando’s defense has slipped since ranking first in the NBA last season in points allowed per game (105.5). Through seven games, the Magic are giving up 116.3 ppg, which is tied for 13th in the league with the Bulls.
  • The Magic were the slowest pace team in the NBA in 2024-25, but have vaulted up to fifth this season at 103.29.
  • Orlando is shooting 57.8% on EFG% on the road, compared to 49% at home.

Atlanta Hawks 

  • The Hawks are 24th in the league in offensive rating at 111.9. In the first game without Young, Atlanta produced its highest offensive rating of 126.7 in the win over Indiana.
  • In two home games, Atlanta has compiled a negative net rating in losses to Toronto (-17.7) and Oklahoma City (-19.0).
  • Atlanta is off its worst 3-point shooting game of the season against Cleveland, hitting 6-of-23 attempts. The Hawks hit 27.6% of its 3-point attempts in the comeback victory at Orlando last month.

Magic vs. Hawks Picks & NBA DFS

Check out tonight’s top picks for this matchup between Orlando and Atlanta.

Magic F Paolo Banchero vs. Hawks Projection: 23.5 Points

  • The No. 1 pick of the 2022 draft is averaging 23.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per contest.
  • Banchero’s worst performance through the first few weeks came against Atlanta. He was held to 11 points on 4-of-15 shooting, including 0-of-5 from 3-point range.
  • He has picked up scoring on the road, averaging 26.0 ppg, compared to 19.7 ppg at home.
  • In three regular season matchups last season against Atlanta, Banchero topped the 30-point mark each time.
  • Atlanta sits 29th in the league in opposing field-goal percentage at home, allowing 51.6%.

Hawks F Jalen Johnson vs. Magic Projection: 30.5 Pts+Rebs

  • Johnson leads the Hawks in scoring at 21.2 ppg and rebounds at 9.0 per contest.
  • Similar to Banchero, Johnson’s worst scoring output of the season came in that matchup against Orlando. Johnson managed just 12 points, the only game this season in which he’s been held to fewer than 22 points.
  • Johnson is fresh off consecutive double-doubles against Indiana and Cleveland. The former Duke product compiled at least 35 points and rebounds in each of those two games. 
  • His usage rate has increased from last season, which sat at 21.4%, compared to 24.3% through seven games.
  • In six of his last nine home games dating back to last season, Johnson has pulled down at least 10 rebounds.

Magic G Jalen Suggs vs. Hawks Projection: 10.5 Points

  • Suggs began the season averaging 12.3 ppg in the first three contests. In the last two games, the former Gonzaga standout has been limited to a total of 14 points.
  • In Saturday’s victory at Washington, Suggs failed to knock down a 3-pointer in seven tries and scored a season-low 6 points.
  • In the first matchup against Atlanta, Suggs shot better from downtown, hitting 3-of-4 attempts and posting 11 points.
  • Suggs is looking for his road scoring magic from last season, when he averaged 17.3 ppg in 18 away contests.
  • The Hawks are the third-best team in the NBA in defensive 3-point percentage, holding opponents to 32.1% from downtown.

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The Magic and Hawks played an exciting game last month in Orlando and we’ll see if there are more fireworks in this division showdown on Tuesday night.

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There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NBA board, so you can build your Lineup however you’d like — with no salary or positional restrictions. Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the NBA season for more analysis for your PrizePicks and NBA DFS Lineups.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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