The Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty game is set to tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, July 3, and will be televised on ION. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Lynx enter as 1.5-point favorites on the spread and return a 1.69x payout if they win.
No team has been as consistent as the Lynx (15-4), as they have not lost back-to-back games this season.
The Liberty (12-8) are trending in the opposite direction, dropping four of their last six games. However, they are coming off a win that secured them the Commissioner’s Cup, so that may give them momentum going forward.
Below, we'll break down our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Friday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Lynx vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks for tonight's game.
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Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 3
It’s difficult to not look at the Lynx as the favorite to win the WNBA Championship with how well they’ve played so far. Even the best teams usually go through tough stretches, but Minnesota has been locked in avoiding back-to-back losses all season.
Of the Lynx's four losses, only one is against a team with a losing record, and two are against the reigning WNBA champion Aces and current Eastern Conference-leading Dream.
It’s tough to beat a team as balanced as Minnesota, with the tools to beat you on either side of the court. The Lynx are the only team to rank in the top five in both offensive and defensive ratings and lead the league with a net rating of 13.4, per WNBA.com.
They have a three-headed monster featuring G Olivia Miles, F Natasha Howard, and G Courtney Williams, who are each inside the top 20 in points per game. The starting lineup is rounded out by G Kayla McBride and C Nia Coffey. All five starters rank among the top 12 in defensive rating.
It’s been a roller coaster season for the Liberty as they search for consistency. New York had a tough start to the season, losing four of its first seven contests, but it followed that with eight straight wins.
The Liberty may have lost that magic coming into tonight's clash, losing four of their last six games, including against two teams not expected to make the playoffs.
In their last four losses, New York has allowed 86 or more points in three games, which is above its 83.7 PPG allowed on the season.
G Sabrina Ionescu is averaging only 11.3 PPG in her eight games since returning from an injury, but she finally turned in a big outing with a season-high 26 points in the Commissioner's Cup championship win over the Aces.
Lynx vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 3
The Lynx enter Friday’s game as 1.5-point road favorites against the Liberty, returning a 1.69x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Lynx vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx -1.5 (1.78x payout)
- Over/Under: 172.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Lynx 1.69x | Liberty 2.08x
Make your Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Lynx vs. Liberty Injury Report for Friday, July 3
Let’s dive into the full Lynx vs. Liberty injury report for Friday, July 3, via WNBA.com.
Minnesota Lynx Injury Report
- F Emma Cechova (knee) - OUT
- F Napheesa Collier (ankle) - OUT
- F Dorka Juhasz (foot) - Questionable
New York Liberty Injury Report
- F Satou Sabally (concussion) - OUT
Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction on Spread – 7/3/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on the spread for Friday, July 3.
- The Lynx are a confident road team to back, with a league-best 9-1 ATS record.
- Minnesota is the top shooting team in the W, leading the league with 34.4 field goals made per game. That could be trouble for New York, which ranks seventh by allowing 31.0 field goals per game.
- The Lynx excel at facilitating the ball, ranking third in the league with 21.3 assists per game. That’s where the Liberty struggle, allowing 20.1 assists per contest, which is eighth in the WNBA.
- Minnesota is sharp behind the arc, shooting a league-leading 37.1% on 3-pointers.
- New York’s regression on defense could be a big concern; since June 19, it is allowing 87 points per game (sixth) and 47.9% from the floor (ninth).
- The Lynx should feel good about playing in the Big Apple, having beaten the Liberty in three straight road games.
Lock in your Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks now.
Lynx vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/3/26
Here are the top Lynx vs. Liberty picks to target on Friday, July 3. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Olivia Miles and Breanna Stewart.
Lynx G Olivia Miles vs. Liberty: 24.5 Pts + Asts
- Miles is the leading candidate for Rookie of the Year, as she leads all first-year players with 18.7 points per game and 5.7 assists per game.
- She might be playing her best basketball yet, scoring 20+ points in three straight games for the first time in her career. Miles recently set a new career high with 31 points on June 17 vs. the Sparks.
- The rookie guard has become the commander of the Lynx’s offense, leading the team with a 25.7% usage rate, which is in the 89th percentile.
- The Liberty have been struggling to prevent assists recently, allowing 21.8 per game since June 19, which ranks 10th in the league during that span.
Add Olivia Miles to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Lynx: 19 Points
- This is the first time Stewart will play against the Lynx since the 2024 WNBA Finals, where she averaged 18.6 PPG, including a 30-point performance in Game 3.
- Stewart is one of the league’s top scorers, with her 19.2 PPG ranking ninth in the W.
- Despite the Lynx being one of the best defenses in the league, the WNBA’s elite scorers have been successful against them. They have allowed Wings G Paige Bueckers, who ranks seventh in the league with 19.9 PPG, to score 25 and 23 points this season.
- Stewart trusts her midrange shot, ranking second in the league with 6.8 midrange field goal attempts per game. She could see a bump with the Lynx allowing 7.2 attempts from midrange per game.
Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Lynx vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks
We get a rematch of the 2024 WNBA Finals on Friday night, and with both teams as playoff contenders, they could meet in the playoffs later in the season. The Lynx look like they could finally win the title, proven by the league’s best record. The Liberty have been struggling recently, so a win against the league's top team would be a much-needed boost.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Lynx vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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