Two potential NBA title contenders meet tonight as the New York Knicks (48-26) head to the Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (58-16).
The Thunder are 7.5-point favorites on the spread on PrizePicks Team Picks for the second and final meeting of the season vs. the Knicks. Oklahoma City won the first game, 103-100, in New York on March 4.
Knicks vs. Thunder tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 29, televised by NBC and Peacock.
Below, we’ll break down our Knicks vs. Thunder prediction and Sunday NBA picks for PrizePicks.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
In the Eastern Conference standings, the Knicks are 1.5 games behind the No. 2 seed Boston Celtics and two games ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers in fourth place. With just eight games remaining in the regular season, the Knicks still have plenty to fight for.
As usual, they’ve been led by All-Star G Jalen Brunson, who tops the team in points (26.2) and assists (6.7) per game. They were on a seven-game winning streak before losing their last outing vs. the Hornets.
We know the story about Oklahoma City. This club just wins, no matter who is on the opposite end of the court. Despite the Thunder winning 13 of their last 14 games, they maintain just a two-game lead over the San Antonio Spurs for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Thunder are the favorite to repeat as champions with a 2.43x payout to win the NBA Finals.
Knicks vs. Thunder Spread, Over/Under
The Thunder enter Sunday’s game as 7.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.26x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Knicks are road underdogs with a 3.84x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 (1.75x payout)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (1.88x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Knicks 3.84x | Thunder 1.26x
Team Picks payouts are live as of this writing and are subject to change.
Knicks vs. Thunder Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Knicks vs. Thunder injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.
Knicks Injury Report
- G Miles McBride (core muscle): Questionable
- SG Landry Shamet (knee): OUT
Thunder Injury Report
The Thunder feature a healthy rotation for Sunday's matchup.
Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread – 3/29/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Knicks vs. Thunder prediction on the spread for Sunday, March 29, on PrizePicks.
- The Knicks are a dreadful 14-23-0 (37.8%) against the spread (ATS) on the road, the second-worst covering record in the NBA.
- Oklahoma City has the best net rating (+11.0) in the entire NBA. That is a whopping +2.7 points ahead of the next-best team, per NBA Advanced Stats.
- OKC won and covered in both games vs. New York last season.
- The Knicks may lean on winning the turnover battle to pull off this upset.
- But the Thunder have the answer by ranking first in turnover percentage (12.3%).
- They also lead the league in points scored off turnovers, accounting for 18.6% of their scoring production.
Knicks vs. Thunder Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/29/26
Here are two of the top Knicks vs. Thunder to consider for Sunday, March 29, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Knicks G Jalen Brunson and Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Knicks G Jalen Brunson Projection vs. Thunder: 34.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Brunson's scoring on the road has dipped to 24.7 points per game — 2.6 fewer than he averages at home.
- The Thunder defense has smothered teams all season, ranking first in defensive rating (106.3) while holding opponents to the lowest field-goal percentage (43.5%).
- Oklahoma City touts eight guards who rank above league average in defensive rating, led by Alex Caruso (100), Ajay Mitchell (102.8), and Cason Wallace (104.4).
- In his only outing vs. OKC this season, Brunson went for 16-3-15 (34 PRA).
- OKC is surrendering just 24.9 assists per game this season, the fifth-fewest in the league.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projection vs. Knicks: 40.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- This projection could be low for SGA, who is averaging 42.4 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game this season.
- At home, that number rises to 43.4 PRA, thanks to increases of 0.9 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game at Paycom Center.
- New York is allowing opponents to take the ninth-most 3-point attempts per game (38.5), and opponents shoot 36.0% from deep (10th-highest).
- SGA has shot 37.9% from deep, on pace for the second-highest 3-point shooting percentage of his career.
Make Knicks vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
Two teams who could make deep playoff runs lock horns in an anticipated game tonight. Will the Thunder stay scorching hot, or will the Knicks work their way up the Eastern Conference standings with a win?
You can make your Knicks vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
