The Arizona Wildcats (26-2) will aim to clinch a share of the Big 12 regular-season title in a pivotal matchup on Saturday. The Wildcats are currently ranked second in the nation and have a two-game lead over the Kansas Jayhawks (21-7) at the top of the Big 12.
Kansas has a 10-2 record over its last 12 games and is coming off a statement 69-56 win against #5 Houston on Monday.
Let’s look at a Kansas vs. Arizona prediction and picks for Saturday’s matchup at McKale Memorial Center in Tucson, tipping off at 4:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on player picks, game winners, over/unders, spreads, and more.
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Kansas vs. Arizona Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Jayhawks outlasted the Wildcats in their first matchup, 82-78, on February 9 despite being without star G Darryn Peterson. After trailing at halftime, Kansas outscored Arizona 40-33 over the final 20 minutes and was led by 23-point performances from F Flory Bidunga and G Melvin Council Jr.
Kansas has won four of the last six contests against Arizona dating back to 2007.
Kansas vs. Arizona Spread, Over/Under
The Wildcats enter this matchup as 8.5-point favorites, returning a 1.21x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Jayhawks are road underdogs with a 4.16x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats -8.5
- Over/Under: 146.5
- Game Winner Payout: Kansas 4.16x | Arizona 1.21x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Kansas vs. Arizona Prediction on Spread
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Kansas vs. Arizona prediction on spread for Saturday, February 28 on PrizePicks.
- The Jayhawks own an 18-10 against-the-spread record, producing a Big 12-best 64.3% cover rate.
- The Wildcats have a 15-12-1 ATS record with a 1-4 ATS mark across their last five contests.
- According to ESPN’s Pete Thamel, Arizona freshman F Koa Peat is expected to return against Kansas after missing the last three games due to a leg muscle strain. Peat has averaged 13.8 PPG and 5.4 RPG this season.
- Arizona ranks 13th in the nation in points per game (87.2) while also leading the Big 12 in the same category.
- Kansas thrives on the defensive end of the floor. The Jayhawks allow the fifth-fewest PPG (68.2) in the Big 12 and hold opponents to a conference-leading 29.8% shooting clip from deep.
- According to Bart Torvik, Arizona owns a 55.1% effective field goal percentage, ranking third in the nation behind only Michigan (58.7%) and Duke (57.5%).
- Per Warren Nolan, the Wildcats rank 58th in pace of play (70.3), while the Jayhawks are 107th in that category (69.2).
- The Wildcats are 4-2 ATS in their last six games vs. the Jayhawks but have only won two of those contests outright.
Kansas vs. Arizona Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/28/26
Here are three top Kansas vs. Arizona picks to target on Saturday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by Kansas G Darryn Peterson, Arizona G Brayden Burries, and Arizona C Motiejus Krivas.
Kansas G Darryn Peterson vs. Arizona Projection: 23.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- The freshman phenom has averaged 18.8 points, rebounds, and assists in his last five games.
- Peterson has topped the 20-point mark on just one occasion in his last eight contests.
- The Jayhawks star is shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc in his last five games, including connecting on 6 of 10 3-point attempts vs. Oklahoma State on February 18.
- Peterson averages 19.5 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 1.4 APG in his debut campaign.
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Arizona G Brayden Burries vs. Kansas Projection: 20.5 Pts + Rebs
- The Wildcats' freshman G has averaged 20.8 points and rebounds across his past five games.
- Burries connects on 37.2% of his shots from deep. In addition, he’s converted 39.1% of his 3-point attempts in his last five contests.
- The former five-star recruit has scored at least 22 points in four of his past nine games, dating back to January 24 vs. West Virginia.
- Burries has averaged 15.5 PPG and 4.6 RPG throughout the 2025-26 season.
Arizona C Motiejus Krivas vs. Kansas Projection: 8.5 Rebounds
- The junior center averaged 8.4 rebounds per contest across his last five games.
- Krivas has racked up double-digit rebounds in 10 contests.
- Kansas gives up 12.6 offensive rebounds per game, ranking dead last in the Big 12.
- Krivas pulled down a season-high 15 rebounds in the first meeting vs. Kansas earlier this month.
Make #14 Kansas vs. #2 Arizona Picks on PrizePicks
Will Arizona exact some revenge from its loss earlier this month, or can Kansas sweep the season series? You can get involved in all of Saturday’s college basketball action and make picks with PrizePicks.
Just pick at least two players and predict More or Less on their projected stats on PrizePicks, or make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!
Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.
