The Atlantic 10 Tournament has reached its finale for Sunday, March 15, as the No. 4 seed Dayton Flyers clash with the No. 2 seed VCU Rams for the championship. Today's A10 Championship tips off at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.
VCU (26-7) enters the title game riding a five-game winning streak and dismantled Saint Joseph’s, 77-64, on Saturday. Meanwhile, Dayton (23-10) punched its ticket by pulling off a dramatic 70-69 upset over No. 1 seed Saint Louis in Saturday's semifinal.
Let's break down a Dayton vs. VCU prediction for the spread for Sunday’s Atlantic 10 Championship. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you're right, including on game winners, spreads, and more!
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Dayton vs. VCU Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Dayton G Jordan Derkack put the team on his back with a game-high 28 points in Saturday's thrilling upset over Saint Louis, keeping Dayton's NCAA Tournament dreams alive.
The Flyers have won eight of their last nine games, leaning on a disciplined defense that allows only 69.9 points per game (84th percentile).
VCU F Lazar Djokovic (13.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.3 BLK) anchors the interior for the Rams, while a versatile backcourt led by G Jadrian Tracey (10.1 PPG) and G Terrence Hill (14.4 PPG) provides a scoring punch. Tracey erupted for a career-high 26 points vs. the Flyers on February 6, and Djokovic is averaging 14.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 2.5 blocks per game in two matchups with Dayton this season.
The recent head-to-head history paints a daunting picture for Dayton head coach Anthony Grant's squad. VCU swept the two regular-season meetings, including a hard-fought 68-62 road victory just nine days ago on March 6.
Pace and transition defense could be difference makers on Sunday. Dayton thrives in a grind-it-out type of matchup, while VCU's offense usually relies on turning defensive pressure into fast break opportunities.
The Rams sped up the Flyers by forcing 16 turnovers while logging 30 fast break points in their 99-73 blowout win over Dayton last month. Will VCU repeat that chaos in the Atlantic 10 Championship at PPG Paints Arena?
Dayton vs. VCU Spread, Over/Under
The Flyers enter this matchup as 2.5-point underdogs, returning a 2.43x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Rams are the favorites with a 1.58x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: VCU -2.5
- Over/Under: 137.5
- Game Winner Payout: Dayton 2.43x | VCU 1.58x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
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Dayton vs. VCU Prediction on Spread – 3/15/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Dayton vs. VCU prediction on the spread for Sunday, March 15th, on PrizePicks.
- VCU is on a tear, winning 15 of its last 16 matchups.
- The Rams covered the spread in both meetings vs. Dayton during the regular season.
- Dayton carries a sluggish 1-3 ATS record in its last four games, and VCU has recorded an impressive 83.5 PPG vs. the Flyers.
- Meanwhile, the Rams are 3-3 ATS in neutral site games, whereas Dayton is 3-2 ATS in this split.
- VCU shoots an efficient 74.1% at the free throw line, and Dayton totaled 20.5 fouls per game vs. VCU this season — surpassing its 16.6 season-long average.
Make Dayton vs. VCU Picks on PrizePicks
Sunday’s game has plenty of stakes, as both programs may need to win the Atlantic 10 Championship for an outright NCAA Tournament. Don't miss your shot to get in on the action — head to PrizePicks now and lock in your picks before tip-off in Pittsburgh.
You can make your Dayton vs. VCU picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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