SEC Network features a doubleheader for Tuesday’s college basketball action, capped by the No. 21 Arkansas Razorbacks (17-6) against the LSU Tigers (14-9) at 9:00 p.m. ET.
Arkansas’ 7-3 record is tied for third in conference standings, while LSU’s 2-8 mark is the second-worst record in the SEC. The Razorbacks bounced back from their January 31 loss to Kentucky by thumping Mississippi State 88-68 on Saturday. Will Arkansas build on its momentum against the Tigers, who are 2-8 in the last 10 games?
Below, we’ll break down the matchup, make an Arkansas vs. LSU prediction on spread, and highlight player projections on PrizePicks.
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Arkansas vs. LSU Prediction, Spread
Arkansas is 7-3 over the last ten head-to-head matchups, including January 24’s 85-81 win. The over is 4-1 in the previous five collisions.
The under is 5-5 in the Razorbacks’ last 10 games, compared to 7-3 for the Tigers in the same split. Over the past eight games, Arkansas is 4-4 against the spread (ATS) while LSU is 5-3.
Arkansas vs. LSU Over/Under, Spread
Arkansas is just 3-3 on the road, but it’s still a 5.5-point favorite and holds a 1.35x payout to win tonight. Both teams record over 80.0 points per game (PPG), leading to tonight’s high 161.5 total.
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks -5.5
- Over/Under: 161.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Arkansas 1.35x | LSU 2.94x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Arkansas vs. LSU Prediction for Total
Arkansas G D.J. Wagner (7.4 PPG) and G Karter Knox (8.4 PPG) are doubtful, and LSU G Dedan Thomas Jr. (15.3 PPG) will miss his third consecutive game.
According to Bart Torvik, the Razorbacks rank 29th for the quickest adjusted tempo (92nd percentile). This leads to a ton of field goal attempts, as Arkansas takes 63.2 shots per game (95th percentile) and allows 63.3 looks per contest (sixth percentile). LSU features a contrasting style, ranking in the 36th percentile of adjusted tempo, and it shoots only 58.2 shots per game (50th percentile).
However, the Tigers still give up 60.5 field goal attempts per matchup (22nd percentile). Both teams struggle on the defensive glass, with the Razorbacks ranked in the 36th percentile and LSU in the 50th percentile of defensive rebounding percentage. Furthermore, Arkansas sits in the 68th percentile for offensive rebounding rate, behind the Tigers in the 84th percentile.
Extra possessions could be a big story of this matchup, potentially leading to plenty of shot attempts. Plus, LSU has still managed to record 81.5 PPG in Thomas’ two-game absence. Arkansas has recorded 86.3 PPG in the last 10 games.
The Razorbacks (68th) and Tigers (127th) carry underwhelming marks in Bart Torvik’s adjusted defensive efficiency, suggesting a high-scoring game on Tuesday night.
Arkansas vs. LSU Picks for PrizePicks: Tuesday, February 10
Now, let’s dive into player projections on PrizePicks. Arkansas G Darius Acuff Jr. looks to stay hot, and LSU C Mike Nwoko could feast on the glass as one of the SEC’s top offensive rebounders.
Arkansas G Darius Acuff Jr. vs. LSU Projection: 21 Points
- LSU is in the 52nd percentile of 3-point shot distribution allowed, and surrenders 8.5 made triples (25th percentile).
- Acuff is second on the Razorbacks with 5.4 triple attempts per game, while shooting an efficient 41.6% from beyond the arc.
- The former five-star prospect made at least 3 triples in three of the last five games, shooting 44.4% from 3-point land since January 20.
- In the last four games, Acuff recorded 24.5 PPG and 18.5 shots per game, surpassing his season average of 20.5 PPG and 15.0 field goal attempts per collision.
- LSU G Max Mackinnon could be Acuff’s primary defender, and he carries the Tigers’ second-worst Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating (DBPR), via EvanMiya.
LSU C Mike Nwoko vs. Arkansas Projection: 4.5 Rebounds
- According to Bart Torvik, Nwoko’s 13.2% offensive rebounding rate is eighth in the SEC.
- Arkansas F Trevon Brazile (sixth) is the only Razorback in the top 25 of the conference in defensive rebounding percentage. Knox is second on the team in the category, and he’s doubtful for tonight.
- The Mississippi State transfer averages 5.4 rebounds per game (RPG) and has totaled 5.3 RPG in his last nine appearances.
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Make Arkansas vs. LSU CBB Picks on PrizePicks
Without its leading scorer, will LSU keep it close against Arkansas? The Tigers sport a favorable matchup on the offensive glass, potentially leading to success on offense and in controlling the pace. Nwoko could be one of several keys, along with Acuff’s red-hot scoring streak.
Make your Arkansas vs. LSU picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued College Basketball predictions, picks, and news.
