Storm vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Monday, July 6

Monday night’s WNBA slate presents a trio of matchups, and its final bout features two teams who are trending in the wrong direction when the Seattle Storm face the Los Angeles Sparks at 10 p.m. ET on USA Network.

Coming into Monday’s game, Los Angeles is looking to defend home court and is favored by 3.5 points on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread. The Sparks return a 1.56x payout with a victory at Crypto.com Arena. Could Seattle come away with an upset?

Below, we'll break down our Storm vs. Sparks prediction and picks for Monday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Storm vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Storm vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Monday, July 6

It’s been tough sledding for the Storm following back-to-back first-round playoff exits. 

The Sonia Raman era is off to a very poor start in the Pacific Northwest, as her crew is just 5-17 and has shown minimal signs of improvement. Seattle is 2-13 since getting to a game within .500 on May 24.

Both sides of the ball are to blame for the Storm’s shortcomings; they sit second-to-last in offensive rating (101.5) and 10th out of 15 teams on the other end (109.0). Only the Portland Fire (-7.0) and Connecticut Sun (-7.2) own a worse average scoring margin than Seattle at -6.0.

It’s been business as usual for Los Angeles in its second season under Lynne Roberts. After improving to 21-23 a year ago, the jury remains out on this team that’s a pair of games below .500 again and currently occupies the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference. The Sparks are 3.5 games back of tying the Dallas Wings for the four-seed.

Roberts’ group can put the ball in the basket, doing so at the fifth-highest rate (88.8 PPG) in the W. It’s the Sparks’ defense that holds them back, evidenced by surrendering 94.3 PPG (15th). Superstar G Kelsey Plum missing a third of the team’s games certainly hasn’t helped everyone establish a rhythm.  

These two squads squared off for the first time this year on June 10, when L.A. came away with an 88-83 triumph thanks to F Nneka Ogwumike’s 24 points and 9 rebounds. They’ll play again on August 30, when there should be a better idea of whether the Sparks are postseason bound.

Storm vs. Sparks Spread, Over/Under – Monday, July 6

The Sparks enter Monday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Storm, returning a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Storm vs. Sparks game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Sparks -3.5 (1.88x payout)
• Over/Under: 174.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Storm 2.22x | Sparks 1.56x

Make your Storm vs. Sparks prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Storm vs. Sparks Injury Report for Monday, July 6

Let’s dive into the full Storm vs. Sparks injury report for Monday, July 6, via WNBA.com.

Seattle Storm Injury Report

• G Taina Mair (coach’s decision): OUT

Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report

• F Cameron Brink (ankle): OUT
• G Kelsey Plum (leg): OUT

Storm vs. Sparks Prediction on Spread – 7/6/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Storm vs. Sparks prediction on the spread for Monday, July 6’s game. 

• Los Angeles has only been a home favorite three times this year, but the club is 2-1 against the spread in those opportunities. Seattle is a putrid 1-9 ATS as road underdogs. 
• Seattle’s efficiency is some of the worst in the sport on offense, as it nets the lowest number of made shots per game (28.0) while ranking 14th in points per shot (1.058). 
• While neither team is even average on the boards, the edge does go to Los Angeles, who’s ninth in opposing rebounds per game at 43.4. Seattle’s 40.4 rebounding average is 12th.
• The second half could be what decides this matchup. The Sparks come out of the locker room regrouped, ranking third in scoring in both the third and fourth quarters. The Storm are 14th and 13th, respectively.
• Hustle plays like turnovers and second chances go to L.A. more often than its Monday counterparts. According to databallr, the Sparks’ -1.5 NetPossession rating is five spots ahead of the Storm at -5.8. 

Lock in your Storm vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Storm vs. Sparks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/6/26

Here are the top Storm vs. Sparks picks to target on Monday, July 6. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include C Dominique Malonga, F Nneka Ogwumike, and F Dearica Hamby. 

Storm C Dominique Malonga vs. Sparks: 27.5 Pts + Rebs

• On the year, Malonga averages a combined 27.2 points and rebounds. That number is 28.8 in her last five contests.
• The sophomore big has vastly improved her 3-point shot, taking 1.5 more per outing and making them at an 18.5% greater clip.
• If Malonga gets to the rim, good luck stopping her, as she cans 87.2% of her looks from 0-3 feet. The Storm defense allows a middle-of-the-pack 37.5 paint points each time out.
• Malonga sits in the 82nd and 87th percentiles for offensive and defensive rebounding at 8.2% and 19.4%, respectively (databallr). 

Add Dominique Malonga to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Sparks F Nneka Ogwumike vs. Storm: 24.5 Pts + Rebs

• Ogwumike’s 24.7 scoring and rebounding average is right in line with her career mark of 24.2, underscoring her consistency dating back to 2012.
• Because she spends just 14.5% of her time on-ball (41st percentile), Ogwumike nets 6.2 unassisted points per contest (74th percentile). 
• The veteran forward’s 8.5 rebounds each night are her most since 2023, helped by a 7.4% offensive rebounding clip that’s her highest since 2019. 
• The Storm allow foes to grab 10.2 O-boards, ranking 14th leaguewide. 

Add Nneka Ogwumike to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Sparks F Dearica Hamby vs. Storm: 15 Points

• Hamby is putting up only 14.2 PPG, including an ugly 26.1% mark from 3-point land.
• In lineups with Hamby on but Plum off the court, Los Angeles’ offense has a 98.9 offensive rating, 9.3 points below the league average. 
• In 39 career games against the Storm, Hamby produces all of 10.1 PPG on 29.2% from deep and 65.2% at the free throw line. 
• Hamby is a non-factor from midrange, making only 25.6% of tries in short-midrange spots and none on long middies.  

Add Dearica Hamby to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Storm vs. Sparks Picks on PrizePicks

It’s safe to say that things haven’t been going as planned for Seattle or Los Angeles to this point. Both sides are among the worst teams in the West, but the Sparks are just a couple of hot weeks away from salvaging the year. What could be in the cards for Monday’s clash in L.A.?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Storm vs. Sparks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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