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Pebble Beach Pro Am Picks, Predictions for PGA Tour: Target Justin Rose?

Golfer Justin Rose tees off in a PGA Tournament.
AP Photo/Denis Poroy

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am is the first signature golf event of the year, which means a smaller field of 80 golfers with no cut after 36 holes, and a $20M purse of prizes. All golfers will play 72 holes, with 18 of them on the Spyglass Course and the rest on Pebble Beach's historic course.

The Pebble Beach course features some of the smallest greens on Tour, with about 3,500 square feet. Playing from the fairway, being great with short approach, and handling around the greens when you miss them are what's important here.

Rory McIlroy is the defending champion at this event, which features 24 of the top 25 eligible PGA Tour players. 

Let's check out PrizePicks' Pebble Beach Pro Am picks and predictions for the PGA Tour.

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Pebble Beach Pro Am Picks, Predictions for PGA Tour

Here are the payout projections for the top-ten golfers to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am, via PrizePicks Team Picks. PGA futures payouts are live as of publishing, but are subject to change.

  • Scottie Scheffler - 3.7x Payout
  • Rory McIlroy - 11.11x
  • Xander Schauffele - 16.66x
  • Si Woo Kim - 16.66x
  • Tommy Fleetwood - 16.66x
  • Viktor Hovland - 22.22x
  • Matt Fitzpatrick - 22.22x
  • Russell Henley - 22.22x
  • Hideki Matsuyama - 22.22x
  • Justin Rose - 22.22x

Pebble Beach Pro Am Golfer Picks

Here are four players to consider for your Pebble Beach Pro Am PrizePicks Picks.

Justin Rose

Golfer Pebble Beach Winner Payout:  Yes 22.22x 

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 5 Payout:  Yes 4.76x | No 1.08x

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 10 Payout:  Yes 3.12x | No 1.26x

  • Justin Rose just won in his last event at Torrey Pines, but as Scottie Scheffler has shown, that doesn't mean he can't win again.
  • Rose ran away with the Farmers Insurance Open and now gets a course he historically plays well at, having won here three years ago and finishing tied for third last year and at the 2019 U.S. Open. 
  • The 2013 U.S. Open winner is top ten in Shots Gained: Total at this event and on the Spyglass Course, which will be used for one round. 
  • The Englishman is also fourth in Shots Gained: Total for the season and fourth on approach, which is a key metric this week. Over the past year, he has been tenth from under 125 yards with his wedges.

Russell Henley

Golfer Pebble Beach Winner Payout:  Yes 22.22x 

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 5 Payout:  Yes 5.55x | No 1.09x

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 10 Payout:  Yes 3.22x | No 1.29x

  • Russell Henley won the Arnold Palmer Invitational last year, was tied for fifth at the Memorial, runner-up at Travelers, tied for tenth at The Open, and top-20 in all three playoff events. What do they all have in common? They are either Signature events, Majors, or Playoff events. 
  • Henley is fifth in Shots Gained: Approach this season after finishing 13th last season in that metric
  • The American finished tied for fifth here last year, leading after 18 holes, and was second after 36 holes.
  • His two events this season have been tied for 19 and eighth with seven of the eight rounds in the 60s, and he now has ten straight top-20 finishes, dating back to the Memorial last May.

Shane Lowry

Golfer Pebble Beach Winner Payout:  Yes 33.33x 

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 5 Payout:  Yes 7.14x | No 1.03x

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 10 Payout:  Yes 5.26x | No 1.08x

  • Shane Lowry was the runner-up here last year to Rory McIlroy in his first appearance since 2019.
  • Lowry is making his PGA Tour season debut, but is coming off a third-place finish in Dubai last month on the DP World Tour. 
  • With bad weather and wind forecasted late Friday into the weekend, Lowry is one of the better bad-weather players on Tour.
  • The Irishman was third on Tour last year in Shots Gained: Approach and 14th from under 125 yards.

Patrick Cantlay

Golfer Pebble Beach Winner Payout:  Yes 33.33x 

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 5 Payout:  Yes 6.25x | No 1.05x

Golfer Pebble Beach Top 10 Payout:  Yes 4x | No 1.16x

  • Patrick Cantlay has five finishes in the top-11 at Pebble Beach, including a tie for fourth in 2022, a tie for third in 2021, and a tie for ninth in 2013. 
  • He also finished tied for 21st at 2019 U.S. Open, hosted at Pebble Beach. 
  • Like Justin Rose, Cantlay is top-ten in Shots Gained: Total at both Spyglass and Pebble courses.
  • He's top-ten Shots Gained on short courses, playing well at similar courses such as TPC River Highlands, Harbour Town, and PGA West. 

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Make Pebble Beach Pro Am PGA Tour Picks on PrizePicks

80 of the world’s best golfers will tee it up starting Thursday at historic Pebble Beach Golf Links. Can Rory McIlroy defend his title and start his 2026 season off as he did in 2025? Or will World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler put last week behind him and remind everyone who is at the top?

You can make your Pebble Beach Pro Am picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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