Tonight, the Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans face off for the second half of a Monday Night Football doubleheader at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN) to do battle. Many eyes will be on each team's superstar wide receiver: Seattle's Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Houston's Nico Collins.
Smith-Njigba has had an electric start to the season, with 'Hawks QB Sam Darnold finding him seemingly effortlessly on a regular basis. Against a Texans defense that has been vulnerable to the deep ball, JSN could be in for another busy night.
We’ll dive into Jaxon Smith-Njigba's projections and pick for Monday Night Football.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projections, Picks for Monday Night Football
Coming into the 2025 season, Darnold was a big question mark. Yes, he rebuilt his career and image with an incredible 2024 season as a Minnesota Viking, but that was with an elite playcaller (and quarterback whisperer) in Kevin O’Connell, plus an offensive line that, frankly, his Seahawks just don't have.
Six games into the season, however, Darnold has more than proved his mettle. He is playing like one of the best deep-ball passers in the NFL, completing a league-high 15 of his 20+ air yard passes, according to FTN’s Statshub. He has made it easy for JSN to integrate seamlessly into the WR1 role that Seattle has always envisioned for him.
The third-year man has used all of this to deliver a season above what anyone could have imagined so far, racking up 42 catches for nearly 700 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projections vs. Texans Tonight
Projections are from the PrizePicks NFL board — choose your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and win cash when your picks hit.
- 9.5 Rec Targets
- 87.5 Receiving Yards
- 27.5 Longest Reception
- 6.5 Receptions
- 10.5 Yards First Rec
Looking for Jaxon Smith-Njigba projections for Monday Night Football? We’ve got the top NFL DFS plays and PrizePicks props to target in this primetime clash with the Houston Texans.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projection: 27.5 Longest Reception
Smith-Njigba has topped this projection in every game so far this season. Darnold ranking as one of the top deep-ball passers in the league has made it so that Smith-Njigba tends to not have much difficulty making deep plays.
The Texans have allowed the 11th-highest completion percentage on throws of more than 20 air yards. Smith-Njigba should also line up against CB Derek Stingley, Jr., who ranks as PFF’s lowest graded coverage cornerback among Houston CBs.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projection: 17.5 Fantasy Score
Despite only scoring touchdowns in three of his six games this year, Smith-Njigba is no stranger to racking up fantasy points. He has had more than this projection in all but one game this season and is averaging 21.9 fantasy points over his last five.
The Texans are allowing 76% of the wide receiver production against them to come from out wide, the third-highest number in the league. While they don’t allow a high volume of wide receiver fantasy points, this is a favorable matchup for the former Ohio State Buckeye.
Right now, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is playing like one of the best wide receivers in professional football. He is the engine that drives the Seahawks' offense, and teams simply don’t know how to stop him.
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