Is Week 3’s meeting between the Baltimore Ravens and Detroit Lions (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) an early Super Bowl LX preview? Considering the amount of talent suiting up for both squads, it's a distinct possibility.
The Ravens have put up a staggering total of 81 points in just two weeks. That said, it’s been a tale of two games for RB Derrick Henry, as will be borne out by the zillions of below digits.
Meanwhile on Detroit’s side, head coach Dan Campbell’s crew responded to a rough Week 1 showing by hanging 52 on the Bears last Sunday. Having won five straight in this seven-game all-time series, the Ravens will look to defend their home turf on the Monday Night Football stage.
Below, we’ll list some top Derrick Henry projections and best NFL DFS same game picks for the superstar Ravens RB on MNF.
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Derrick Henry Projections vs. Lions, Best Picks
Two weeks into his tenth season, King Henry is already up to 192 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Despite being 31 years old and having well over 2,000 carries under his belt, he shows minimal signs of slowing down. How does that impact his Week 3 player projections on PrizePicks?
Derrick Henry Projection: 86.5 Rush Yards
- In a small sample size, Henry’s rushing average of 96 yards per game is a decline from last season’s 113. It is, however, higher than his career figure of 84.2.
- Henry ran wild in Week 1’s contest against the Bills, averaging 9.4 yards per carry en route to a 169-yard performance.
- There’s no shame in mustering 23 yards in Week 2 versus the Browns. Cleveland boasts the NFL’s best run defense through three games.
- Two interesting stats to note: In games 1-4 of each season, Henry posts his lowest rushing yards per game (76.2). He’s also historically worse against NFC teams (77.7) than AFC opponents (86.3).
- In two career outings against the Lions, Henry averages 93.5 yards on the ground.
Derrick Henry Projection: 18.5 Rush Attempts
- After notching 18 tries in Week 1’s loss, Week 2’s win saw Henry tote the rock just 11 times. He had a total that low just once in the 2024-25 campaign.
- The week after his 11-carry effort last season, Henry responded with 23 attempts for 106 yards and 2 TDs.
- The four-time NFL carry leader finished 20 below Eagles standout Saquon Barkley (325 to Barkley’s 345) a year ago.
- Henry’s current success rate of 37.9%, heavily imapcted by a bad Week 2, is easily the lowest mark of his illustrious NFL tenure.
- In 25 career games during the late-game window, Henry averages exactly 18 carries a contest.
Derrick Henry Projection: 4.5 Receiving Yards
- After peaking with a personal best 398 receiving yards in 2022, Henry’s yardage total declined in the following two campaigns.
- The King remained effective on a per-snap basis last year in the passing game, averaging 10.2 yards per reception. Among RBs with 20-plus catches, that figure ranked sixth.
- After recording a 13-yard snag in Week 1 Henry went without a catch in Week 2.
- Henry’s Week 3 projection is fitting — in those aforementioned two Lions matchups, he averaged 4.67 yards per reception.
- Last year, the Lions finished tied for the sixth-least receptions allowed to RBs but ranked 13th in most receiving yards surrendered. Two weeks into this year, they’re the league’s best defense in both categories.
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Henry’s Week 3 outlook is intriguing. On one hand, he’s notorious for rebounding from bad games, but on the flip side, he doesn’t fare quite as well in inter-conference play, nor has he demonstrated elite-level production against the Lions.
With that in mind, there are plenty of Derrick Henry Monday Night Football player projections and best picks to choose from.
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