The NFC North race is heating up heading into the final month of the season. The surprising Chicago Bears (9-3) hold a slim lead over the Green Bay Packers (8-3-1) as the two rivals link up for the first of two meetings over the next three weeks.
The Bears overcame an 0-2 start to win nine of the next 10 games, capping off a five-game winning streak with a 24-15 triumph at Philadelphia on Black Friday. The Packers have built a three-game hot streak, fresh off an impressive 31-28 victory at Detroit on Thanksgiving. The offense is coming back to life after getting held to 19 points in a pair of home defeats to Carolina and Philadelphia to kick off November.
Let’s look at our Bears vs. Packers prediction and picks for Sunday afternoon’s showdown at Lambeau Field, kicking off at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX. Use PrizePicks NFL to make picks for Week 14 and beyond.
Bears vs. Packers Prediction, Preview for Week 14
Green Bay has captured nine of the past 10 matchups with Chicago. The Packers enter this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, returning a 1.33x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Bears are road underdogs with a 3.22x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Green Bay Packers -6.5
- Total: 45.5
- Game Winner Payout: Bears 3.22x | Packers 1.33x
Payouts are as of Friday, 1:30 p.m. ET and are subject to change.
Here are some stats to know to get you set for Bears vs. Packers today.
- The Packers are averaging 27.0 points per game in the past three victories. QB Jordan Love lit up the Lions for 4 TD passes on Thanksgiving.
- In six games at Lambeau Field, the Pack’s defense has given up fewer than 18 points each time. Green Bay is 4-2 at home after defeating Minnesota 23-6 in Week 12.
- The Bears lost their first two games of the season to division rivals Minnesota and Detroit.
- Since allowing 42 points at Cincinnati in Week 9, Chicago has yielded a total of 29 points in the past two road victories at Minnesota and Philadelphia.
- In last Friday’s win against the Eagles, the Bears rushed for 281 yards. The backfield duo of D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai each put up more than 120 rushing yards.
- Chicago snapped an 11-game skid to Green Bay with a walk-off field goal in Week 18 last season, 24-22.
Chicago Bears Preview vs. Packers
- The Bears are the third-rated team at Pro Football Focus in pass blocking grade after finishing eighth in 2024.
- Chicago has covered five of its last six road games since getting routed at Detroit 52-21 in Week 2.
- The Bears managed to beat the Packers at Lambeau last season in spite of getting outgained 367-224.
Green Bay Packers Preview vs. Bears
- The Packers have finished under the total in five of six home games.
- Head coach Matt LaFleur’s squad is 1-5 against the spread as a favorite of more than 6 points.
- Green Bay is one of four NFC teams to be ranked in the top-10 at PFF in both offense and defense grades. The other three clubs are the Rams, Seahawks, and Lions.
Bears vs. Packers Picks & NFL DFS
Here are three top Bears vs. Packers picks to target on Sunday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by Green Bay QB Jordan Love, Chicago QB Caleb Williams, and Packers RB Josh Jacobs.
Packers QB Jordan Love vs. Bears Projection: 215.5 Yards
- Love was limited to below 200 passing yards in three straight games before his 234-yard performance against Detroit.
- Prior to his 4-TD output last Thursday, the former Utah State standout compiled a total of 3 TD passes in his previous four games.
- In three of six home outings, Love put up at least 250 passing yards. He was held to fewer than 188 yards in the other three games.
- The Bears have yielded at least 216 passing yards in three of seven road games. Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts threw for 230 yards in last Friday’s loss to Chicago.
Bears QB Caleb Williams vs. Packers Projection: 189.5 Passing Yards
- Expectations were elevated for Williams when Ben Johnson was hired as head coach. He seems to be turning the corner, throwing for an average of 226.8 yards after putting up 208.2 yards per game in his rookie campaign.
- The 2022 Heisman Trophy winner is coming off his lowest yardage output of 2025, getting held to 154 passing yards at Philadelphia.
- Williams compiled at least 200 passing yards in each of his first five road games before getting limited in the past two away contests.
- The Packers allowed more than 200 passing yards in each of the first three home games, but the last three opposing QBs have not reached that marker.
Packers RB Josh Jacobs vs. Bears Projection: 78.5 Rushing Yards
- Jacobs bounced back after missing the Minnesota victory in Week 12 due to injury, rushing for 83 yards on 13 carries in the Thanksgiving win at Detroit.
- The former Alabama star has rushed for more than 80 yards in consecutive games once this season.
- In two matchups with Chicago last season, Jacobs piled up 76 and 44 rushing yards.
- The Bears rank 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game at 133.8. Chicago has allowed two opposing RBs to rush for at least 80 yards on the road (Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs and Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty).
Make Bears vs. Packers Picks on PrizePicks
The Bears will soon look to take a major step towards winning the NFC North division in Johnson’s first year. Chicago seeks its second straight win over Green Bay after losing the previous 11 matchups dating back to 2019.
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