The Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream game is set to tip off at 1:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 17, with the Aces entering as 3.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
The reigning WNBA champions will look to hand the Dream its first loss of the season when they travel to Gateway Center Arena on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta’s 2-0 record marks its best start to a season since 2022.
After opening the season with a lopsided home loss at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas comes into Sunday winning three straight road games.
Below, we'll break down our Aces vs. Dream prediction and picks for Sunday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Aces vs. Dream picks on PrizePicks for Sunday's WNBA game.
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Aces vs. Dream Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, May 17
With the opening week of “The W” coming to an end, the Dream remains the only undefeated team in either conference. Karl Smesko’s squad will face its toughest opponent yet when the reigning champions head to College Park for the Dream’s sold-out home opener on Sunday afternoon.
Atlanta shocked the basketball world when it made a blockbuster trade for young star F Angel Reese during the offseason. The 24-year-old has already made an impact on her new team, leading the league with 15.0 rebounds per game early on this season.
Despite the Dream’s hot start to the season, G Rhyne Howard being listed as out for Sunday’s matchup quickly flipped the projections in favor of Las Vegas. Howard suffered a concussion earlier this week, according to USA Today.
Smesko will have to turn to a thinner rotation with the league leader in minutes per game out against the Aces. The 26-year-old has posted 14.5 points, 4.5 assists, and 4.5 rebounds per game over two appearances this season.
More of the Dream’s offensive load may now fall on leading scorer G Allisha Gray. The veteran guard is averaging a career-high 25.0 PPG early in the 2026 season.
The Aces will look to extend their winning streak to four games behind the stellar play of reigning MVP C A’ja Wilson. Wilson comes into Sunday’s game following the most efficient 45-point game in WNBA history on Friday evening.
The reigning champs are averaging 101.3 points per game over their last three, silencing concerns of scoring just 66 points in the season opener on May 9. Even after the 33-point loss to the Mercury, Las Vegas has the third-lowest field goal percentage allowed while boasting the top field goal percentage on offense.
The Aces' strong output on both sides of the ball has seen Becky Hammon’s squad win by an average of +21.0 points per game during its three-game win streak.
Aces vs. Dream Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, May 17
The Aces enter Sunday’s game as 3.5-point road favorites against the Dream, returning a 1.58x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Aces vs. Dream game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Aces -3.5 (1.96x payout)
- Over/Under: 174.5 (2.12x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Aces - 1.58x | Dream - 2.27x
Make your Aces vs. Dream prediction on the spread of over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Aces vs. Dream Injury Report for Sunday, May 17
Let’s dive into the full Aces vs. Dream injury report for Sunday, via WNBA.com.
Aces Injury Report
- F Janiah Barker - Questionable
- G Dana Evans - Questionable
Dream Injury Report
- F Brionna Jones - OUT
- G Rhyne Howard - OUT
Aces vs. Dream Prediction on Over/Under – 5/17/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Aces vs. Dream prediction on over/under for Sunday, May 17.
Lock in your Aces vs. Dream prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.
- Las Vegas ranks third in the league with 92.5 PPG. Hammon’s squad is averaging 101.3 PPG in its first three road games.
- The Aces lead the WNBA in field goal percentage at 54.1%. Vegas has eclipsed 60.0% from the field in two of its first four games.
- Despite the undefeated start, the Dream has not had the same offensive firepower, ranking 10th or worse in PPG (84.0), FG% (40.1%), and 3FG% (25.8%).
- Atlanta has defended the long ball better than any other team, with opponents shooting just 20.5% on 3-pointers.
- Aces’ games are averaging a 177.5 point total, while the Dream’s first two games combined for just 165.
- Las Vegas sits second in the WNBA with an 8.7 net rating, while the Dream ranks seventh with a net rating of 3 in two games, per WNBA Advanced Stats.
Aces vs. Dream Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/17/26
Here are the top Aces vs. Dream picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, May 17. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include A’ja Wilson and Alisha Gray.
Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Dream: 23.5 Points
- The three-time MVP ranks second in the WNBA with 26.3 PPG. Wilson has averaged over 23.0 PPG in each of the last three seasons.
- The Aces superstar leads the league in per-minute production with a 38.3 PER in her first four games.
- Wilson has averaged just under 24.0 PPG in 22 games against the Dream in her career. Last year, the MVP totaled 30.0 PPG in three games vs. Atlanta.
- She ranks 10th with 15.5 field goals attempted per game, and her 7.5 free throws per game is sixth in the WNBA.
Add A'ja Wilson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Dream G Allisha Gray vs. Aces: 19.5 Points
- Gray’s 25.0 PPG this season is a 6.6-point jump from last season’s averages.
- The three-time All-Star ranks fifth with 8.5 3-pointers attempted per game. The Aces are allowing the sixth-highest 3-point percentage to their opponents.
- Gray averaged 18.3 PPG in three games against the Aces last season, including a 24-point outing in her first game against Las Vegas last July.
- Gray is averaging just under 18.0 PPG in games without starting backcourt mate Rhyne Howard.
- The 30-year-old guard is one of 15 players with a usage rate higher than 30% this season.
Add Allisha Gray to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Aces vs. Dream Picks on PrizePicks
After a slow start, the Aces seem to be getting back to their championship-level form heading into Sunday’s game. Meanwhile, the Dream will look to overcome the absence of a key starter as the reigning champions come to town for Atlanta's home opener.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Aces vs. Dream picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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