The stakes are high for a Thursday Night Football battle between the Los Angeles Rams (11-3) and Seattle Seahawks (11-3). L.A. currently holds the tiebreaker over Seattle for the top spot in the NFC West, but the winner will grab a one-game lead with only two weeks remaining in the regular season thereafter.
Adding to the hype, the victor will also hold the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Two of the NFL’s best teams will take the field for Thursday night’s 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on Prime Video.
Let’s have an in-depth look at this highly-anticipated bout, making a Rams vs. Seahawks prediction and exploring picks for player projections at PrizePicks.
Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
PrizePicks Team Picks has the Rams (4x) and Seahawks (6.66x) with the two shortest payouts to win the Super Bowl. Ahead of Thursday’s collision, Seattle carries a 2.94x payout to win the NFC West, while L.A. is the favorite with a 1.66x payout.
Payouts for the Super Bowl and NFC West winner could shift following this big-time matchup. What do the stats say about this clash between bitter rivals?
Rams vs. Seahawks Over/Under, Spread
The Seahawks are favored by 2.5 points at home, rewarding a 1.72x payout with an outright win, via PrizePicks Team Picks. The Rams carry a 2.04x payout for an outright win on Thursday Night Football.
With two elite defenses colliding, Thursday’s 41.5 total suggests points may be at a premium.
- Spread: Seattle Seahawks -2.5
- Over/Under: 41.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rams 2.04x | Seahawks 1.72x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction on Spread
Injuries could impact this matchup, as Los Angeles WR Davante Adams (hamstring) is doubtful, DE Braden Fiske (ankle) is questionable, and Seattle LT Charles Cross (hamstring) is out.
If Fiske is absent, this could help lessen the blow of missing Cross. L.A. ranks eighth in pass rush win rate compared to the Seahawks sitting 12th in pass block win rate, per ESPN. Adams, meanwhile, is second on the Rams with 789 receiving yards while leading with 14 receiving TDs.
The veteran WR's impact in the red zone is worth highlighting, as he boasts a 35.6% red zone target share (via PlayerProfiler). Seattle’s defense allows only a 51.2% red zone scoring rate (fifth).
Both teams are in the top 10 of EPA per dropback and rushing attempts allowed while sitting in the top six of EPA per dropback on offense (via SumerSports). Failures in the red zone could make a huge difference, making the potential Adams absence hurt even more.
Most of the Seahawks’ success on offense comes through the air; they net 8.8 yards per passing attempt. The Rams cede 101.1 rushing yards per game (ninth) compared to 219.7 passing yards per contest (19th).
In the previous head-to-head clash, Seattle outgained Los Angeles in yardage, 414-249. However, it lost 21-19 due to four turnovers while scoring a TD in only one of four red zone trips. The Seahawks have a chance to flip the script on TNF.
Rams vs. Seahawks Picks for Thursday Night Football
Now that we have the team previews behind us, let’s get into some player matchups. Check out a pair of key player projections found at PrizePicks.
Seahawks QB Sam Darnold vs. Rams Projection: 226.5 Passing Yards
Despite throwing four INTs in Week 11’s NFC West battle, Seahawks QB Sam Darnold still totaled a healthy 279 passing yards against the Rams. This goes hand-in-hand with L.A. dwelling in the bottom half of passing yards allowed.
Running the rock looks to be the glaring weakness of Seattle, averaging only 3.9 yards per rushing attempt (28th) and -0.11 EPA per carry (30th). Leaning on the run against the Rams — who are tied for third in EPA per rush allowed — could prove to be a fool’s errand.
Darnold is averaging 245.2 passing yards per game this season and 234.2 over the previous five. The first-year Seahawk has boosted his 27.9 passing attempts per contest to 32.4 in the past five games.
According to Sharp Football Analysis, Los Angeles features zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate. In a five-game split against defenses in the top 10 of zone coverage, Darnold has posted 231.0 passing yards per game.
Rams RB Blake Corum vs. Seahawks Projection: 38.5 Rushing Yards
Rams RB Kyren Williams leads the L.A. backfield with +44.4 EPA (first) and a 70.1% snap share (eighth), but don’t sleep on emerging RB Blake Corum.
The second-year tailback totaled 93.3 rushing yards per game over his last three games. His wildly efficient 9.3 yards per carry during the span has led to an increased role, sporting a 37.1% snap share. For context, Corum had a 27.1% snap rate from Week 1 to 11.
He’s reached double-digit rushing attempts on five occasions — two of which were in the last two weeks. The former Michigan Wolverine’s stock is rising ahead of the playoffs; he boasts +21.3 EPA (fourth).
Make Rams vs. Seahawks Picks on PrizePicks
With three weeks remaining in the regular season, first place in the NFC West and conference is on the line for Thursday Night Football. What more could you ask for?
In a heavyweight matchup between the Rams and Seahawks, make your predictions on PrizePicks for a chance to earn real-money rewards if you’re right. Just pick players and predict More or Less on their projected stats.
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