Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks for Wednesday, May 27

The Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty game is set to tip off in the primetime spotlight on USA Network at 7:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 27, with the Liberty entering as 5.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks. 

The Mercury (2-5) will look to get back in the win column after dropping their third straight game Sunday against the Dream. The Liberty (3-4) have cooled off considerably following a hot start, also dropping three straight.  

Below, we'll break down our Mercury vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Wednesday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Mercury vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks for tonight's game.

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Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, May 27

Phoenix and New York match up for the first time this season after last meeting in the first round of the 2025 WNBA Playoffs. These teams will face each other at the Barclays Center once again on Friday evening.

Monday's 81-74 loss to the Portland Fire marked the third straight game New York has scored under 77 points — a steep drop-off from averaging 100 PPG through its first four contests. After shooting nearly 50% over the first four games, the Liberty has shot under 42% from the field in three consecutive games.

The Mercury’s offense has not had as steep a drop-off as New York but has instead struggled on the defensive side of the ball. Teams are shooting a league-high 38.1% on 3-pointers against Nate Tibbetts’ squad, which has allowed 92 PPG in its five losses this season.

New York will look to salvage the seven-game homestand with Phoenix in town for the next two games. The Liberty is now 1-3 at home, already approaching the five home losses it had in the 2025 regular season.

Meanwhile, Phoenix will be eager to turn its season around, sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference after nearly a full month of regular-season play. Tibbetts' squad will hope to build on its success in Brooklyn from a season ago. The Mercury defeated the Liberty in two of the three games played in New York in the postseason and regular season.

Head coach Chris DeMarco is hopeful G Sabrina Ionescu will be available on Wednesday after she sat out the Liberty's last game for injury management. Ionescu missed the team’s first five games with a foot injury before returning in the Liberty’s 91-76 defeat versus the Wings. New York will lean on F Breanna Stewart and Ionescu to help snap the early-season skid.

Mercury vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, May 27

The Liberty enters Wednesday’s game as 5.5-point home favorites against the Mercury, returning a 1.4x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

Here are the full payouts for the Mercury vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Liberty -5.5 (2x payout)
• Over/Under: 171.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Mercury - 2.56x | Liberty - 1.49x

Make your Mercury vs. Liberty prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Mercury vs. Liberty Injury Report for Wednesday, May 27

Let’s dive into the full Mercury vs. Liberty injury report for Wednesday, via WNBA.com.

Mercury Injury Report 

• G Sami Whitcomb (knee) - OUT
• G Monique Akoa Makani (reconditioning) - Probable

Liberty Injury Report

• G Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (personal) - Questionable
• F Satou Sabally (illness) - Questionable
• G Sabrina Ionescu (back) - Questionable

Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction on Over/Under – 5/27/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mercury vs. Liberty prediction on the over/under for Wednesday, May 27.

Lock in your Mercury vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks before it tips off.

• After hitting the over in four straight games to start the season, New York's games have gone under in three consecutive games.
• Mercury games have gone under just twice over their seven games, most recently against Atlanta on Sunday. 
• New York (620) and Phoenix (611) rank first and third, respectively, in points scored this season.
• Teams are attempting more 3-pointers against the Liberty and Mercury than any other teams in the association. The Mercury is allowing the highest 3-point shooting percentage across the league.
• The Mercury have shot more free throws than any team in the league this season with 26.29 FTA per game.  
• Phoenix is allowing 92.3 PPG during its three-game losing streak, and the Liberty is surrendering 86.3 PPG during their three-game losing skid.

Mercury vs. Liberty Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/27/26

Here are the top Mercury vs. Liberty picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, May 27. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Kahleah Copper and Sabrina Ionescu.

Mercury G Kahleah Copper vs. Liberty: 19.5 Points

• Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury with 18.7 PPG in seven games this season.
• The 31-year-old guard has struggled with efficiency, shooting 34.4% from the field on a team-high 17.4 attempts per game.
• Kah has scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games, doing so just three times this season. 
• Copper averaged 16 PPG vs the Liberty last season, scoring over 19.5 points just once in the three games.

Add Kahleah Copper to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu vs. Mercury: 16.5 Points

• Ionescu scored 11 points in her lone appearance this season, tallying all 11 in the first half before going scoreless in the final two quarters.
• The six-year veteran has averaged 16.2 PPG in 13 career regular-season games against the Mercury. This number was slightly higher last season when Ionescu averaged 18 PPG in three games vs Phoenix.
• Ionescu took five 3-pointers in her season debut on Sunday afternoon. The four-time All-Star averaged 7.1 3-point attempts last season and had double-digit attempts vs. the Mercury twice in 2025.
• Ionescu posted 15.7 PPG versus the Mercury during the 2025 playoffs. She shot just 34% from the field on a team-high 16.7 attempts per game.

Add Sabrina Ionescu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Mercury vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks

Both teams will look to avoid dropping four straight when they meet on Wednesday evening for game one of a two-game series. The Liberty will hope to pick up its second home win of the season after dropping three of four games played at the Barclays Center. Meanwhile, Phoenix will look to avoid falling four games under .500 against a familiar postseason opponent. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Mercury vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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