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Best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Picks, Projection for Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3

May 9, 2025

May 9, 2025

Get the best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander picks for Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 tonight, including top SGA projections from PrizePicks NBA for NBA DFS.

Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images

The Thunder suffered a disappointing loss at home in Game 1 against the Nuggets, but it bounced back in a big way for Game 2, with a 149-106 win to level the series. Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the key to taking the lead in the series in Game 3 tonight.

Below, we’ll give you the best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander picks for tonight, including his points projections from PrizePicks.

PrizePicks is the easiest way to get real money action on tonight’s Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3. Pick more or less on player stat projections — including for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — and get paid if your picks are correct.

Find more of the top player picks for tonight’s NBA Playoff games here, including Donovan Mitchell and Michael Porter Jr..

Let's look at the top picks for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to target on PrizePicks tonight.   

Best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Pick vs. Nuggets Today

Here is the best SGA pick for Friday’s conference semifinals playoff game vs. the Nuggets.

Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – 32.5 Points

Top SGA Picks for Game 3

With the Thunder destroying the Nuggets in Game 2, Gilgeous-Alexander only played 30 minutes. Still, he scored 34 points while shooting 11-for-13 from the field. He was also 11-for-11 from the free-throw line. He was an efficient scorer throughout the regular season, shooting 51.9% from the field and 89.8% from the free-throw line.

In a much closer matchup in Game 1, Gilgeous-Alexander scored 33 points on 26 shot attempts. During the regular season, both the Thunder (100.90) and the Nuggets (100.67) ranked inside the top-eight in the league in pace of play. 

In the playoffs, the Nuggets have allowed an opponent’s shooting percentage of 48.7%.

After averaging 34.2 minutes and 32.7 points per game in the regular season, SGA has played at least 38 minutes in every Playoff game that has stayed within 20 points.

Additional Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Pick — 0.5 Dunks

More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projections vs. Nuggets

Here are other top Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projections vs. the Nuggets tonight in the Western Conference semifinals, via the PrizePicks NBA board.

  • 45.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
  • 6.5 Rebounds (Demon)
  • 7.5 Assists
  • 54.5 Fantasy Score
  • 2.5 3-PT Made (Demon)

Cash in on Thunder vs. Nuggets on PrizePicks

Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals shifts the series to Denver. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will need to play a leading role if the Thunder are going to pull out the victory. If the game stays close, like in Game 1, we could see an offense explosion from SGA tonight.

Think you know ball? This game between the Thunder and Nuggets is a shot to win real money on PrizePicks with your predictions.

There is a wide variety of player stat projections and squares on the board, so you can build your Lineup with no salary or positional restrictions. Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the NBA playoffs for more basketball analysis for your PrizePicks and NBA DFS Lineups.

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